Reference Text
Time Left10:00
Faced
with
slowing
GDP
growth
and
encouraged
by
benign
inflationary
trends,
the
Reserve
Bank
of
India
(RBI)
has
delivered
a
Goldilocks
cut
of
35
basis
points
in
the
benchmark
repo
rate.
Though
a
rate
cut
was
a
foregone
conclusion
ahead
of
the
monetary
policy
announcement,
the
expectation
was
of
either
a
25
or
50
basis
points
one.
Given
the
extent
of
the
slowdown
in
the
economy,
the
Monetary
Policy
Committee
(MPC)
deemed
the
former
as
too
low
but
taking
into
account
factors
such
as
the
turbulence
in
the
global
financial
markets
and
the
rupee’s
fall
in
the
last
few
days,
the
latter
was
seen
as
too
high.
In
the
event,
the
MPC
settled
on
a
median
and
unconventional
35
basis
point
cut,
which
keeps
the
powder
dry
for
further
cuts
this
financial
year.
With
this,
the
RBI
has
cut
rates
in
four
consecutive
policy
announcements
beginning
February
this
year,
aggregating
to
a
total
of
110
basis
points.
But
the
transmission
by
banks
to
lenders
has
not
been
even
a
third
of
this.
The
central
bank
says
that
banks
have
passed
on
just
29
basis
points
which
is
poor
indeed.
One
factor
inhibiting
transmission
was
the
tight
liquidity
conditions
until
June
when
the
RBI
flooded
the
market
—
in
fact,
the
last
two
months
the
central
bank
has
had
to
absorb
excess
liquidity
floating
around.
There
is,
therefore,
reason
to
hope
that
transmission
from
hereon
would
be
quicker.
The
repo
rate
at
5.40%
is
now
at
a
nine-year
low
and
is
headed
lower
in
the
next
few
months
and
could
well
settle
at
5%
or
very
close
to
that
by
the
time
this
rate
cutting
cycle
plays
out.
Supporting
this
theory
is
the
fact
that
inflation
is
projected
to
be
benign
for
the
next
one
year.
Growth,
on
the
other
hand,
is
expected
to
be
weak
and
the
MPC
has
revised
downwards
the
projected
GDP
growth
rate
for
this
fiscal
to
6.9%
from
7%
earlier,
with
downside
risks.
Even
this
appears
optimistic
given
the
current
impulses
in
the
economy
and
it
is
very
likely
that
GDP
growth
this
fiscal
will
be
closer
to
6.5%.
With
the
latest
cut,
the
RBI
has
signified
that
it
is
willing
to
do
the
heavy
lifting.
But
this
alone
will
not
suffice
as
cost
of
capital
is
just
one
aspect
that
determines
investment.
The
government
has
to
play
its
part
too
in
boosting
growth.
Arguably,
the
space
for
fiscal
concessions
is
limited
given
the
overall
revenue
scenario,
but
the
government
can
certainly
push
for
further
reforms
to
incentivise
investment
without
impacting
its
fiscal
arithmetic.
The
slowdown
now
is
part
cyclical
—
which
can
be
addressed
by
a
rate
cut
—
and
part
structural,
for
which
reforms